近程简易控制火箭末修的效率分析

阐述了脉冲控制力实施简易控制的特点,针对某近程单兵火箭建立了其弹道模型,在弹体周向布置两种大小不同的脉冲发动机,采用两种脉冲延时分级控制的控制策略对其实施简易控制,对其控制时刻、转速影响、分档设计等进行了分析证明对该单兵火箭实施简易控制是可行的.     

一种基于Jerk模型的机动目标单站无源定位算法

针对采用非线性较强的观测角、角度变化率、脉冲到达时间差等参数的单站无源定位跟踪系统,提出了一种新的跟踪滤波算法IMM-Jerk。该方法用Jerk模型对做复杂机动的运动目标建模,采用经过UKF滤波改进的交互多模(IMM)算法对目标实现跟踪滤波。该算法可适用于对做多种机动运动的目标的跟踪,提高了目标跟踪收敛精度和跟踪系统的稳定性。仿真试验证明了该方法的可行性和有效性,并具有较高的应用价值。最后,对IMM-Jerk算法的研究方向进行了讨论。     

On equivalence between the proportionate flow shop and single‐machine scheduling problems

We derive sufficient conditions which, when satisfied, guarantee that an optimal solution for a single‐machine scheduling problem is also optimal for the corresponding proportionate flow shop scheduling problem. We then utilize these sufficient conditions to show the solvability in polynomial time of numerous proportionate flow shop scheduling problems with fixed job processing times, position‐dependent job processing times, controllable job processing times, and also problems with job rejection. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 595–603, 2015     

Scheduling research and the first decade of NRLQ: A historical perspective

It is generally recognized that the first model involving job scheduling was presented by Selmer Johnson and published in the inaugural issue of Naval Research Logistics Quarterly (NRLQ) in 1954. NRLQ also published another seminal scheduling paper by Wayne E. Smith a short time later. In the present paper, we discuss the contribution of NRLQ and the role of the Office of Naval Research in the development of the scheduling literature during the first decade (1954–1963). We also provide a critical analysis of the papers by Johnson and Smith. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 335–344, 2015     

多准则下反导作战单、多遭遇点预测模型

整个反导射击过程可以简单看作一个基于预测的遭遇点起始的,不断重复、修正的过程。分析遭遇点预测的时间和空间前提,并给出遭遇点预测的3个基本准则;在多准则下建立了单遭遇点预测模型,给出了模型公式中未知量的转化方法;分射击-观察-射击和射击-射击两种情况建立了多准则下多遭遇点预测和优化模型,并给出了拦截弹最晚发射时间的计算方法;就观察时机对遭遇点预测的影响进行了分析与建模。部分研究属于探索性的研究,相关结论对指控模型开发和实施连续反导,从方法和作战理念方面提供了一些参考。     

磷虾群免疫粒子滤波的机载单站无源定位算法

为了进一步提高机载单站无源定位的精度,将磷虾群优化思想引入到粒子滤波的重采样阶段,提出了一种磷虾群免疫粒子滤波算法。该算法利用磷虾的受诱导运动、觅食以及随机扩散行为,将粒子导向高似然区域,有效缓解了粒子退化问题。同时,其采用了人工免疫算法的变异操作,避免了早熟现象的出现,提高了粒子的多样性,克服了粒子贫化问题。仿真结果表明,新算法改善了机载单站无源定位的定位精度以及收敛速度。     

对单兵火箭提前修正量的分析研究

为了实现某型单兵火箭的射击在陆军分队作战模拟仿真系统中的仿真模拟,运用数理统计理论对单兵火箭提前修正量进行分析研究,论证了单兵火箭的射程与提前修正量的一元线性回归分析的统计规律,给出了一元线性回归方程和提前修正量的置信区间,论证了在置信区间中的实际提前修正量的射击的弹着点符合正态分布的射击规律和散布律公式。根据得到的理论结果,指导模拟仿真系统对单兵火箭的射击进行仿真模拟。     

A note on the forecast performance of temporal aggregation

Earlier research on the effects of nonoverlapping temporal aggregation on demand forecasting showed the benefits associated with such an approach under a stationary AR(1) or MA(1) processes for decision making conducted at the disaggregate level. The first objective of this note is to extend those important results by considering a more general underlying demand process. The second objective is to assess the conditions under which aggregation may be a preferable approach for improving decision making at the aggregate level as well. We confirm the validity of previous results under more general conditions, and we show the increased benefit resulting from forecasting by temporal aggregation at lower frequency time units. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 489–500, 2014     

单点系泊船舶Hopf分岔的试验研究

对单点系泊船舶的Hopf分岔现象进行了试验研究.给出了试验方法和过程;探讨了不同来流速度和系缆长度对于船舶动力学响应的影响.试验表明,船模运动呈现出典型的非线性特征,观察到了吸引子的共存,平衡点稳定性丧失和Hopf分岔现象.利用振动衰减系数计算了Hopf分岔值,与试验结果相比较,具有良好的一致性.得到了试验条件下的Hopf分岔集,指出其对于系泊系统的设计是有指导意义的.     

移动平台基线精度及其命中概率仿真研究

为了优化移动平台基线修正的精度指标,首先推导了由基线测量误差引起的目标现在点定位误差计算公式,进而得到了基线测量误差影响下的系统命中概率计算公式．理论分析与Monte—Carlo仿真表明,与移动平台间的基线测量精度相比,目标观测设备相对移动平台的基线测量精度对命中概率的影响更加显著．